BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI)
BigBear.ai uses artificial intelligence to help businesses and government agencies make sense of complex data to predict future outcomes.
Is BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. a good stock for a UK beginner?
The honest version: There's no rating here and nothing for sale. In its favour: Strong focus on high-demand AI and data analytics. Worth weighing: Significant ongoing financial losses. Below, we lay out what it does, what its numbers mean, and the honest risks, so you can decide for yourself.
Over about 2 years to 2026-07-31. This is the share price only; any dividends would add to it. And it's the USD return - as a UK investor your actual £ return also moves with the exchange rate. Past performance is not a guide to the future, and it could just as easily have fallen.
How much has BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. actually fallen?
Over the last 2 years of daily prices, BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. fell as much as −76% from a high to a later low. Drops of this size are a normal part of owning a share - worth knowing in advance, so a dip doesn't come as a shock.
Worst peak-to-trough fall in the daily closing price over the period we hold. Past falls are not a forecast - it can fall further, or recover.
Based on beta - how much the price swings versus the whole market. Bumpier isn't bad; it just means a rougher ride, which matters more the sooner you might need the money.
Prices move on results, news and the mood of the whole market - no single headline explains a day, and a quiet week is usually just noise, not a signal.
The company becomes a key player in the AI infrastructure space.
Failure to compete with larger, better-funded tech giants.
What does BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. do?
BigBear.ai builds software that crunches massive amounts of data to help its clients spot patterns and make better decisions. They primarily make money through long-term contracts with government bodies and large commercial organisations. Whether they can turn their high-tech ideas into consistent profits is the crux, since they currently spend more than they earn.
On our factor screen it looks strongest on value and growth, and weakest on momentum.
- !Pays no dividend - the whole return rides on the share price
- ✓Growing - revenue up about 13% over the year
- ✓Low debt - a sturdier balance sheet
- Value screens high (70/100)
- Strong focus on high-demand AI and data analytics
- Established relationships with government clients
- Specialised technology that is difficult to replicate
- Momentum screens low (2/100)
- Income screens low (16/100)
- Potential need to raise more cash if losses continue
- Heavy reliance on government spending cycles
- Intense competition from much larger technology firms
What do BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.'s numbers mean?
How much money does BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. make?
Revenue and profit by quarter, and how much of each sale turns into profit.
Does BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. pay a dividend?
No - BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. doesn't currently pay a dividend, so the whole return would rest on the share price. Plenty of growing companies reinvest their profits instead of paying them out - neither approach is better or worse, they're just different.
When does BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. report earnings, and how did recent quarters go?
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. is next scheduled to report on about 2026-11-02 - dates can move, and we don't predict results; this just tells you when to look.
Each quarter a company reports its results against what analysts expected. ‘Beating’ or ‘missing’ is about that expectation, not whether the business is doing well in absolute terms.
| Reported | Expected EPS: The earnings per share analysts expected for the quarter - the average of their forecasts. 'Beating' or 'missing' is measured against this number. | Actual EPS | vs expected |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | $-0.04 | $-0.05 | Missed -11% |
| 2026-05-05 | $-0.08 | $-0.12 | Missed -50% |
| 2026-03-02 | $-0.06 | $-0.01 | Beat +83% |
| 2025-11-10 | $-0.07 | $0.01 | Beat +114% |
| 2025-08-11 | $-0.06 | $-0.71 | Missed -1021% |
| 2025-05-01 | $-0.06 | $-0.25 | Missed -341% |
Across the last 6 quarters here, BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. came in ahead of what analysts expected 2 times. One quarter is noise, not a trend.
See who else reports over the next two weeks →
Reported vs expected earnings per share (EPS) from published results; the expectation is the analyst consensus, not our view. Report dates are estimates that can move.
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Hewlett Packard EnterpriseWhat are the scenarios for BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.?
An illustrative range for the year ahead, with the assumption behind each case — not a prediction or a price target.
What are the pros and cons of BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.?
How many points the write-up makes each way — a balance check, not a score or verdict.
- Strong focus on high-demand AI and data analytics
- Established relationships with government clients
- Specialised technology that is difficult to replicate
- Significant ongoing financial losses
- High share price volatility
- Stagnant revenue growth: How fast the company's sales grew versus a year ago. in a fast-moving sector
- Potential need to raise more cash if losses continue
- Heavy reliance on government spending cycles
- Intense competition from much larger technology firms
The write-up's own warning lights — if these start happening, the case above changes.
- A consistent trend of positive net income
- Significant, sustained double-digit revenue growth
Built from public filings & market prices, checked for an education-only tone, and never a price target. How we make these →
This plain-English summary was auto-generated on 2026-08-02 from public data and checked for an education-only, no-advice tone (the figures above carry their own, usually fresher, 'as of' date). It's information, never a recommendation.