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The Progressive Corporation (PGR)

Financial Services Balanced

The Progressive Corporation is a massive American insurance company that specialises in covering cars, homes, and businesses.

$211.42

Is The Progressive Corporation a good stock for a UK beginner?

The honest version: The Progressive Corporation is a massive American insurance company that specialises in covering cars, homes, and businesses.

No rating · no target price · nothing for sale here
Price-1.8%
= past earnings-report date
Priced in USD - as a UK investor your £ return also moves with the pound-to-dollar exchange rate, on top of the share price itself.
52-week range-12% past year
$211.42
Low $189.20High $254.93
Where today's price sits versus its past year - context, not a signal.
If you had put $1,000 into The Progressive Corporation
$982-2%

Over about 2 years to 2026-07-31. This is the share price only - reinvesting the dividends would add to it. And it's the USD return - as a UK investor your actual £ return also moves with the exchange rate. Past performance is not a guide to the future, and it could just as easily have fallen.

Market cap: The company's total value on the stock market - share price times the number of shares. Big = 'large-cap', small = 'small-cap'.
$122.92B
Avg volume: How many shares change hands on a typical day. Higher means it's easy to buy or exit without moving the price.
3.29M
Day range: The lowest and highest price the shares traded at during the latest day.
$210.29 – $213.82
52-week range: The lowest and highest the shares have traded over the past year - a sense of how wide the swings have been.
$189.20 – $254.93
P/E ratio: Price-to-earnings: the share price divided by yearly profit per share. Lower can mean cheaper; higher often means investors expect fast growth.
10.7
Dividend yield: The yearly dividend as a percentage of the share price - roughly the income you'd earn from dividends alone.
6.5%
Beta: How bumpy the share price is versus the whole market. Above 1 swings more than the market; below 1 is calmer. It's about the ride, not whether it goes up or down.
0.25
How bumpy is it?Beta: How bumpy the share price is versus the whole market. Above 1 swings more than the market; below 1 is calmer. It's about the ride, not whether it goes up or down. 0.25
Calm
Wild
Steadier than most

Based on beta - how much the price swings versus the whole market. Bumpier isn't bad; it just means a rougher ride, which matters more the sooner you might need the money.

Why has it been moving?▲ +2% past week · ▼ -12% past year

Prices move on results, news and the mood of the whole market - no single headline explains a day, and a quiet week is usually just noise, not a signal.

The bull case

Dominance in the digital insurance space leads to sustained high margins.

The bear case

Long-term shift in transport habits reducing the need for traditional car insurance.

What does The Progressive Corporation do?

Progressive makes its money by collecting premiums from customers and paying out claims when accidents or losses happen. They are well-known for using data to price their policies accurately, which helps them stay profitable even when the insurance market gets tough. Pay attention to how their claims costs stack up against the money they bring in from premiums.

VQGMI
Factor profile

On our factor screen it looks strongest on value and income, and weakest on growth.

Value: How cheap the stock looks versus profits, sales and assets (higher = cheaper). 62Quality: How profitable and financially healthy the company is (higher = stronger). 57Growth: How fast revenue and earnings are growing (higher = faster). 37Momentum: How the share price has been trending recently (higher = stronger recent run). 37Income: The dividend income on offer and how sustainable it looks (higher = more/steadier). 61
Quick checks
What's strong
  • Strong track record of profitability
  • Very low volatility compared to the broader market
  • High return on equity indicates efficient management
What to watch
  • Unexpected spikes in the cost of vehicle repairs
  • Regulatory changes that could limit how they price policies
  • Economic downturns reducing the number of people buying insurance

What do The Progressive Corporation's numbers mean?

P/E
11.7
This shows how much you are paying for every pound of the company's annual profit; a lower number can sometimes suggest the company is priced more modestly relative to its earnings.
Return on Equity
37.9%
This measures how efficiently the company uses the money shareholders have invested to generate profit, with a higher percentage generally being a sign of a very effective business.
Beta
0.2
This indicates how much the share price tends to move compared to the wider market, with a low number suggesting the stock is typically much less jumpy than the average share.
Dividend yield
6.0%
This represents the annual cash payout to shareholders as a percentage of the share price, showing the income you might receive just for holding the stock.

How much money does The Progressive Corporation make?

Revenue and profit by quarter, and how much of each sale turns into profit.

RevenueNet income
$0$5.68B$11.37B$17.05B$22.74BQ1 25Q2 25Q3 25Q4 25Q1 26
Gross margin
18.5%
Net margin
12.8%
Return on equity
34.9%

Does The Progressive Corporation pay a dividend?

Yes - The Progressive Corporation currently pays a dividend of about 6.5% a year (the yearly payout as a share of the price). A dividend is a slice of profit handed to shareholders; the yield moves as the price moves, and a company can cut or stop it.

When does The Progressive Corporation report earnings, and how did recent quarters go?

The Progressive Corporation is next scheduled to report on about 2026-10-14 - dates can move, and we don't predict results; this just tells you when to look.

Each quarter a company reports its results against what analysts expected. ‘Beating’ or ‘missing’ is about that expectation, not whether the business is doing well in absolute terms.

ReportedExpected EPS: The earnings per share analysts expected for the quarter - the average of their forecasts. 'Beating' or 'missing' is measured against this number.Actual EPSvs expected
2026-07-15$4.84$4.85In line
2026-04-15$4.88$4.96Beat +2%
2026-01-28$4.43$4.67Beat +5%
2025-10-15$5.05$4.05Missed -20%
2025-07-16$4.43$4.88Beat +10%
2025-04-16$4.78$4.65Missed -3%

Across the last 6 quarters here, The Progressive Corporation came in ahead of what analysts expected 3 times. One quarter is noise, not a trend.

See who else reports over the next two weeks →

Reported vs expected earnings per share (EPS) from published results; the expectation is the analyst consensus, not our view. Report dates are estimates that can move.

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What are the scenarios for The Progressive Corporation?

An illustrative range for the year ahead, with the assumption behind each case — not a prediction or a price target.

$244$211$186today · $211▲ Bull · $227• Base · $211▼ Bear · $196in 1 yearILLUSTRATIVE · NOT A PREDICTION OR PRICE TARGET
Bull
+5% to +10%Stronger than expected premium growth in the next quarter.
Base
-2% to +2%Steady performance in line with historical trends.
Bear
-5% to -10%Unexpectedly high claims costs due to severe weather events.

What are the pros and cons of The Progressive Corporation?

3bull points
6bear points

How many points the write-up makes each way — a balance check, not a score or verdict.

The bull case3
  • Strong track record of profitability
  • Very low volatility compared to the broader market
  • High return on equity indicates efficient management
The catch3
  • Insurance is a highly competitive and crowded industry
  • Profitability is vulnerable to unpredictable natural disasters
  • Growth is tied to the mature and slow-moving insurance market
Key risks3
  • Unexpected spikes in the cost of vehicle repairs
  • Regulatory changes that could limit how they price policies
  • Economic downturns reducing the number of people buying insurance
What would flip the thesis

The write-up's own warning lights — if these start happening, the case above changes.

Confidence: medium · data: USD · flags: none · Charts by TradingView Lightweight Charts™
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Built from public filings & market prices, checked for an education-only tone, and never a price target. How we make these →

This plain-English summary was auto-generated on 2026-08-01 from public data and checked for an education-only, no-advice tone (the figures above carry their own, usually fresher, 'as of' date). It's information, never a recommendation.

Figures as of 2026-08-01. Prices may be delayed and numbers can go stale - always double-check before acting.