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The Mosaic Company (MOS)

Basic Materials Out of favour

The Mosaic Company is a major global producer of crop nutrients, specifically potash and phosphate, which help farmers around the world grow more food.

$22.12

Is The Mosaic Company a good stock for a UK beginner?

The honest version: There's no rating here and nothing for sale. In its favour: Essential product for global food production. Worth weighing: Very thin profit margins make the business sensitive to costs. Below, we lay out what it does, what its numbers mean, and the honest risks, so you can decide for yourself.

No rating · no target price · nothing for sale here
Price-23.4%
= past earnings-report date
Priced in USD - as a UK investor your £ return also moves with the pound-to-dollar exchange rate, on top of the share price itself.
52-week range-37% past year
$22.12
Low $19.80High $36.99
Where today's price sits versus its past year - context, not a signal.
If you had put $1,000 into The Mosaic Company
$766-23%

Over about 2 years to 2026-07-31. This is the share price only - reinvesting the dividends would add to it. And it's the USD return - as a UK investor your actual £ return also moves with the exchange rate. Past performance is not a guide to the future, and it could just as easily have fallen.

How much has The Mosaic Company actually fallen?

−48%

Over the last 2 years of daily prices, The Mosaic Company fell as much as −48% from a high to a later low. Drops of this size are a normal part of owning a share - worth knowing in advance, so a dip doesn't come as a shock.

Worst peak-to-trough fall in the daily closing price over the period we hold. Past falls are not a forecast - it can fall further, or recover.

Market cap: The company's total value on the stock market - share price times the number of shares. Big = 'large-cap', small = 'small-cap'.
$7.03B
Avg volume: How many shares change hands on a typical day. Higher means it's easy to buy or exit without moving the price.
8.93M
Day range: The lowest and highest price the shares traded at during the latest day.
$22.07 – $22.98
52-week range: The lowest and highest the shares have traded over the past year - a sense of how wide the swings have been.
$19.80 – $36.99
P/E ratio: Price-to-earnings: the share price divided by yearly profit per share. Lower can mean cheaper; higher often means investors expect fast growth.
158.0
Dividend yield: The yearly dividend as a percentage of the share price - roughly the income you'd earn from dividends alone.
4.0%
Beta: How bumpy the share price is versus the whole market. Above 1 swings more than the market; below 1 is calmer. It's about the ride, not whether it goes up or down.
0.82
How bumpy is it?Beta: How bumpy the share price is versus the whole market. Above 1 swings more than the market; below 1 is calmer. It's about the ride, not whether it goes up or down. 0.82
Calm
Wild
Roughly in step with the market

Based on beta - how much the price swings versus the whole market. Bumpier isn't bad; it just means a rougher ride, which matters more the sooner you might need the money.

Why has it been moving?▼ -0% past week · ▼ -37% past year

Prices move on results, news and the mood of the whole market - no single headline explains a day, and a quiet week is usually just noise, not a signal.

The bull case

Rising global population increases the long-term demand for food and fertiliser.

The bear case

New competitors or alternative farming methods reduce the need for traditional fertilisers.

What does The Mosaic Company do?

Mosaic turns raw minerals into fertilisers that are essential for modern farming. Income flows from selling these products into agricultural markets, so its success is tied to global crop prices and how much farmers are willing to spend on soil health. The big variable is the cyclical: A business whose sales and profits rise and fall with the wider economy - booming in good times, sinking in downturns. Miners, carmakers and banks are classic examples. nature of the fertiliser market, as their profits can swing wildly depending on global supply and demand for food.

VQGMI
Factor profile

On our factor screen it looks strongest on growth and value, and weakest on momentum.

Value: How cheap the stock looks versus profits, sales and assets (higher = cheaper). 64Quality: How profitable and financially healthy the company is (higher = stronger). 25Growth: How fast revenue and earnings are growing (higher = faster). 64Momentum: How the share price has been trending recently (higher = stronger recent run). 19Income: The dividend income on offer and how sustainable it looks (higher = more/steadier). 47
Quick checks
What's strong
  • Essential product for global food production
  • Attractive dividend yield for income-focused portfolios
  • Trading at a low valuation relative to its sales and book value
What to watch
  • Quality screens low (25/100)
  • Momentum screens low (19/100)
  • Fluctuations in the price of raw materials like potash
  • Geopolitical instability affecting supply chains
  • Changes in environmental regulations impacting mining operations

What do The Mosaic Company's numbers mean?

P/E
148.7
This shows how much you are paying for every pound of profit; a high number like this often suggests recent earnings were unusually low.
Higher than most of the 27 Basic Materials shares we cover
Forward P/E
11.7
This looks at expected future profits, suggesting that analysts think the company's earnings might improve significantly over the next year.
Around the middle of the 34 Basic Materials shares we cover
P/S
0.6
This compares the company's total value to its sales, and a number below 1.0 suggests the market currently values the business at less than its annual revenue.
Lower than most of the 33 Basic Materials shares we cover
Dividend yield
4.1%
This is the annual cash payout to shareholders as a percentage of the share price, acting as a potential income stream for investors.
Higher than most of the 34 Basic Materials shares we cover

How much money does The Mosaic Company make?

Revenue and profit by quarter, and how much of each sale turns into profit.

RevenueNet income
$0$863.02M$1.73B$2.59B$3.45BQ1 25Q2 25Q3 25Q4 25Q1 26
Gross margin
13.3%
Net margin
0.4%
Return on equity
0.6%

Does The Mosaic Company pay a dividend?

Yes - The Mosaic Company currently pays a dividend of about 4.0% a year (the yearly payout as a share of the price). A dividend is a slice of profit handed to shareholders; the yield moves as the price moves, and a company can cut or stop it.

What do the numbers say about The Mosaic Company's dividend?

There's no rating here, and we don't judge whether the dividend will continue - that would be advice. Here are the figures income investors usually look at, and what each one means, so you can weigh it up yourself.

Dividend yield4.0%The yearly dividend as a percentage of today's price. A very high figure often means the price has fallen because the market expects a cut, so a big yield is a question to look into, not a prize.
Payout ratio629%The share of profit paid out as dividends. A lower figure leaves headroom; near or above 100% means most or all of the profit is going out as dividends.
Dividend cover0.2×Profit divided by the dividend (the payout ratio the other way up). As a rough convention many income investors like around 2× or more; below 1× means the company paid out more than it earned that year.

Figures are from the latest available data and can be distorted by one-off results. Past payments don't predict future ones, and a dividend can be cut at any time. This lays out the numbers to help you understand them - it is not a view on what will happen.

When does The Mosaic Company report earnings, and how did recent quarters go?

The Mosaic Company is next scheduled to report on about 2026-08-04 - dates can move, and we don't predict results; this just tells you when to look.

Each quarter a company reports its results against what analysts expected. ‘Beating’ or ‘missing’ is about that expectation, not whether the business is doing well in absolute terms.

The Mosaic Company: reported versus expected earnings per share, recent quarters
ReportedExpected EPS: The earnings per share analysts expected for the quarter - the average of their forecasts. 'Beating' or 'missing' is measured against this number.Actual EPSvs expected
2026-05-11$0.22$0.05Missed -77%
2026-02-24$0.44$0.22Missed -50%
2025-11-04$0.95$1.04Beat +9%
2025-08-05$0.72$0.51Missed -29%
2025-05-06$0.45$0.49Beat +10%
2025-02-27$0.57$0.45Missed -21%

Across the last 6 quarters here, The Mosaic Company came in ahead of what analysts expected 2 times. One quarter is noise, not a trend.

See who else reports over the next two weeks →

Reported vs expected earnings per share (EPS) from published results; the expectation is the analyst consensus, not our view. Report dates are estimates that can move.

More in Basic Materials

CF IndustriesNewmontEndeavour MiningFresnilloNucorSteel Dynamics, Inc.Freeport-McMoRan Inc.Corteva, Inc.

What are the scenarios for The Mosaic Company?

An illustrative range for the year ahead, with the assumption behind each case — not a prediction or a price target.

$31$22$19today · $22▲ Bull · $24• Base · $22▼ Bear · $20in 1 yearILLUSTRATIVE · NOT A PREDICTION OR PRICE TARGET
Bull
+5% to +10%A sudden spike in global fertiliser prices boosts short-term margins.
Base
-2% to +2%Stable demand for crop nutrients keeps revenue steady.
Bear
-5% to -10%Lower crop prices lead farmers to cut back on fertiliser spending.

What are the pros and cons of The Mosaic Company?

3bull points
6bear points

How many points the write-up makes each way — a balance check, not a score or verdict.

The bull case3
  • Essential product for global food production
  • Attractive dividend yield: The yearly dividend as a percentage of the share price - roughly the income you'd earn from dividends alone. for income-focused portfolios
  • Trading at a low valuation relative to its sales and book value: A company's net assets - what it owns minus what it owes - per share. Price-to-book compares the share price to this figure.
The catch3
  • Very thin profit margins make the business sensitive to costs
  • Highly cyclical: A business whose sales and profits rise and fall with the wider economy - booming in good times, sinking in downturns. Miners, carmakers and banks are classic examples. industry prone to boom and bust cycles
  • Recent share price performance has been weak
Key risks3
  • Fluctuations in the price of raw materials like potash
  • Geopolitical instability affecting supply chains
  • Changes in environmental regulations impacting mining operations
What would flip the thesis

The write-up's own warning lights — if these start happening, the case above changes.

Confidence: medium · data: USD · flags: earnings_growth · Charts by TradingView Lightweight Charts™
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Built from public filings & market prices, checked for an education-only tone, and never a price target. How we make these →

This plain-English summary was auto-generated on 2026-08-02 from public data and checked for an education-only, no-advice tone (the figures above carry their own, usually fresher, 'as of' date). It's information, never a recommendation.

Figures as of 2026-08-02. Prices may be delayed and numbers can go stale - always double-check before acting.