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BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI)

Technology Out of favour

BigBear.ai uses artificial intelligence to help businesses and government agencies make sense of complex data to predict future outcomes.

$2.87

Is BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. a good stock for a UK beginner?

The honest version: There's no rating here and nothing for sale. In its favour: Strong focus on high-demand AI and data analytics. Worth weighing: Significant ongoing financial losses.

No rating · no target price · nothing for sale here
Price+112.6%
= past earnings-report date
Priced in USD. As a UK investor your £ return also moves with the pound-to-dollar exchange rate, even inside an ISA - a stronger pound can trim your £ gains and a weaker pound can add to them, whatever the share price itself does.
52-week range-53% past year
$2.87
Low $2.59High $9.39
Where today's price sits versus its past year - context, not a signal.

Is this normal for this company?

Each figure against the range this same company has produced recently. Neither end of a range is the good end.

Net profit margin
-70.1%now
-704.0%7.6%

Profit as a share of sales, from the company's own quarterly statements. The range covers the 5 quarters we hold, and the figure shown is its most recent one.

How these ranges are built

Every number here is the company's own reported figure, not a comparison with other companies. The ranges come from this company's own results and its share price. Where it reports in a different currency from the one its shares trade in, the price-to-earnings range is left out rather than mixing the two.

What does BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. do?

BigBear.ai builds software that crunches massive amounts of data to help its clients spot patterns and make better decisions. They primarily make money through long-term contracts with government bodies and large commercial organisations. Whether they can turn their high-tech ideas into consistent profits is the crux, since they currently spend more than they earn.

On our factor screen it looks strongest on value and growth, and weakest on momentum.

Quick checks
What's strong
What to watch
  • Momentum screens low
  • Income screens low

Does BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. pay a dividend?

No - BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. doesn't currently pay a dividend, so the whole return would rest on the share price. Plenty of growing companies reinvest their profits instead of paying them out - neither approach is better or worse, they're just different.

Does BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. have more cash or more debt?

It holds about $319.19M in cash against about $22.75M of debt - so it has net cash of about $296.44M. More cash than debt is a cushion: it does not need to borrow just to cover what it owes.

From the latest reported balance sheet. Cash and debt levels change, and some borrowing is normal - this is context, not a judgment.

What do BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.'s numbers mean?

P/S
12.13
This shows how much investors are paying for every pound of the company's sales, suggesting high expectations for future growth.
Higher than most of the 126 Technology shares we cover
Net margin
-65.2%
This indicates that for every pound of revenue, the company is currently losing over two pounds, highlighting significant operational costs.
Lower than most of the 131 Technology shares we cover
Beta
3.1
A beta this high means the share price tends to swing much more wildly than the wider stock market.
Revenue growth
13.2%
This shows that the company's total sales have slightly dipped compared to the previous year.
Around the middle of the 131 Technology shares we cover

How has it performed?

Growth of £1,000, the worst fall, and year by year
If you had put $1,000 into BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.
$2,126+113%

Over about 2 years to 2026-09-11. This is the share price only; any dividends would add to it. And it's the USD return - as a UK investor your actual £ return also moves with the exchange rate. Past performance is not a guide to the future, and it could just as easily have fallen.

How much has BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. actually fallen?

−76%

Over the last 2 years of daily prices, BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. fell as much as −76% from a high to a later low. Falls like this are normal when you own a share.

Past falls are not a forecast - it can fall further, or recover.

How has it done year by year?

2022-88%
2023+218%
2024+108%
2025+21%
2026 so far-38%

Calendar-year total return - the share price with dividends reinvested - from adjusted closing prices. The current year is only part-complete. Past returns are not a guide to the future.

A closer look at the numbers

Ownership, earnings history, where the money goes, and the outlook range
Market cap: The company's total value on the stock market - share price times the number of shares. Big = 'large-cap', small = 'small-cap'.
$1.60B
Avg volume: How many shares change hands on a typical day. Higher means it's easy to buy or exit without moving the price.
34.81M
Day range: The lowest and highest price the shares traded at during the latest day.
$2.81 – $2.92
52-week range: The lowest and highest the shares have traded over the past year - a sense of how wide the swings have been.
$2.59 – $9.39
Beta: How bumpy the share price is versus the whole market. Above 1 swings more than the market; below 1 is calmer. It's about the ride, not whether it goes up or down.
3.18

Does the share price tell you if it's cheap or expensive?

One share costs$2.87
Number of shares556 million
So the whole company is worth$1.6bn
A £5 share is not cheaper than a £500 one - it means the company cut itself into more slices. Whether the total looks high or low is what the figures below are for; we don't give a verdict.

Who owns BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.?

Big institutions 45%Company insiders 1%Public & smaller investors 54%

About 45% of BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc., or about 45 in every 100 shares, is held by big institutions such as pension and index funds, and company insiders hold about 1%. The rest, roughly 54%, is held by the public and smaller investors.

What this does and doesn't tell you

This is a recent snapshot of the share register, and it moves. We don't read anything into who owns what - a high institutional share is common for any large listed company and is not a signal about it.

How bumpy is it?Beta: How bumpy the share price is versus the whole market. Above 1 swings more than the market; below 1 is calmer. It's about the ride, not whether it goes up or down. 3.18
Calm
Wild
Bumpier than the market

Based on beta - how much the price swings versus the whole market. Bumpier isn't bad; it just means a rougher ride, which matters more the sooner you might need the money.

Why has it been moving?▲ +17% past week · ▼ -53% past year

Prices move on results, news and the mood of the whole market - no single headline explains a day, and a quiet week is usually just noise, not a signal.

How much money does BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. make?

Revenue and profit by quarter, and how much of each sale turns into profit.

RevenueNet income
$0$9.19M$18.37M$27.56M$36.75MQ2 25Q3 25Q4 25Q1 26Q2 26
Gross margin
27.9%
Net margin
-65.2%
Return on equity
-16.6%

When does BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. report earnings, and how did recent quarters go?

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. is next scheduled to report on about 2026-11-02 - dates can move, and we don't predict results; this just tells you when to look.

‘Beat’ and ‘missed’ are against what analysts expected, not whether the business is doing well.

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.: reported versus expected earnings per share, recent quarters
ReportedExpected EPS: The earnings per share analysts expected for the quarter - the average of their forecasts. 'Beating' or 'missing' is measured against this number.Actual EPSvs expected
2026-07-30$-0.04$-0.05Missed -11%
2026-05-05$-0.08$-0.12Missed -50%
2026-03-02$-0.06$-0.01Beat +83%
2025-11-10$-0.07$0.01Beat +114%
2025-08-11$-0.06$-0.71Missed -1021%
2025-05-01$-0.06$-0.25Missed -341%

Across the last 6 quarters here, BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. came in ahead of what analysts expected 2 times. One quarter is noise, not a trend.

See who else reports over the next two weeks →

Where these figures come from

Each quarter a company reports its results against a consensus of analyst forecasts. The figures here are reported versus expected earnings per share from published results; the expectation is that analyst consensus, not our view. Report dates are estimates and can move.

What are the scenarios for BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.?

An illustrative range for the year ahead — not a prediction or a price target.

◀ lowerhigher ▶todayBull▲ UpsideBase• In-lineBear▼ Downside
Bull
+15% to +25%New government contract wins boost investor sentiment.
Base
-5% to +5%Steady performance with no major news.
Bear
-15% to -30%Increased cash burn concerns spook the market.

What are the pros, cons and common questions?

The case each way, and the questions people ask
The bull case

The company becomes a key player in the AI infrastructure space.

The bear case

Failure to compete with larger, better-funded tech giants.

What are the pros and cons of BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.?

3bull points
6bear points

A balance check, not a score or verdict.

The bull case3
  • Strong focus on high-demand AI and data analytics
  • Established relationships with government clients
  • Specialised technology that is difficult to replicate
The catch3
  • Significant ongoing financial losses
  • High share price volatility
  • Stagnant revenue growth: How fast the company's sales grew versus a year ago. in a fast-moving sector
Key risks3
  • Potential need to raise more cash if losses continue
  • Heavy reliance on government spending cycles
  • Intense competition from much larger technology firms
What would flip the thesis

The write-up's own warning lights — if these start happening, the case above changes.

  • A consistent trend of positive net income
  • Significant, sustained double-digit revenue growth

Common questions about BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.

Does BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. pay a dividend?

No - BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. does not currently pay a dividend, so the return would rest on the share price. Many growing companies reinvest profits instead of paying them out.

When does BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. report earnings next?

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. is next scheduled to report results on about 2026-11-02. Report dates are estimates and can move; this is a diary note for when to look, not a forecast of the outcome.

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Confidence: low · data: USD · flags: pe, earnings_growth · Charts by TradingView Lightweight Charts™
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Built from public filings & market prices, checked for an education-only tone, and never a price target. How we make these →

This plain-English summary was auto-generated on 2026-08-02 from public data and checked for an education-only, no-advice tone (the figures above carry their own, usually fresher, 'as of' date). It's information, never a recommendation.

Prices as of 11 Sep 2026; other figures as of 11 Aug 2026. Prices may be delayed and numbers can go stale - always double-check before acting.